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Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?

data as of 2025-09-13 19:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K−$16K$18K
Holders68+4226
Trades507+180327
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−25.0 pp
72.8%
Avg ROI3.3%
+1.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−0.04×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.05×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$53
−$1.4K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.0%
+1.7 pp
-0.7%
Underwater %41.3%
−22.4 pp
63.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.0%
−33.7 pp
40.7%
Bot %8.7%
−32.1 pp
40.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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