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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-01-03 08:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$29K$6.4K
Holders105+2877
Trades1.5K+3471.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.5%
+34.0 pp
28.6%
Avg ROI2.0%
+9.8 pp
-7.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−90.25×
×90.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−89.11×
×89.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
+$1.2K
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.13
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.5%
+143.4 pp
-98.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.6 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.8%
−15.1 pp
80.9%
Bot %68.3%
−11.6 pp
79.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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