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Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

data as of 2026-04-14 21:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$102−$14K$14K
Holders42−4284
Trades324+10314
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate10.5%
−67.3 pp
77.8%
Avg ROI46.9%
+45.7 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
+0.04×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$470
$479
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.18
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.1%
−4.5 pp
-0.6%
Underwater %9.7%
−37.7 pp
47.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.8%
−23.3 pp
32.2%
Bot %8.8%
−23.3 pp
32.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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