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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 22:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$13K$8.9K
Holders341−65406
Trades2.6K−4783.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+8.8 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.1 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−1.70×
×2.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−1.66×
×2.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.9K
+$11.3K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.5%
+92.3 pp
-60.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−86.6 pp
86.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.9%
−6.8 pp
35.7%
Bot %57.1%
−7.8 pp
64.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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