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Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 19:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.5K−$18K$19K
Holders31−132
Trades312+123189
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−8.4 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−4.3 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−0.89×
×1.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−0.67×
×1.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$369
+$364
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.27
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL64.6%
+87.7 pp
-23.1%
Underwater %29.3%
−70.6 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.7%
−36.3 pp
77.0%
Bot %40.7%
−36.3 pp
77.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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