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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$10.0K$21K
Holders406+25381
Trades4.0K+2173.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−2.4 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI5.3%
+1.8 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.77
+30.32×
×0.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.20
+27.75×
×0.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.9K
+$12.0K
$18.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−209.3 pp
112.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.8%
+2.9 pp
42.8%
Bot %66.1%
+5.1 pp
61.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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