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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 13:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.4K−$12K$19K
Holders299+60239
Trades1.7K+811.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−39.3 pp
85.1%
Avg ROI4.1%
+1.1 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.07
+44.51×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.85
+42.10×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
−$8.2K
$13.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.05
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−144.4 pp
46.9%
Underwater %93.2%
+93.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.0%
+14.8 pp
39.2%
Bot %53.9%
+13.8 pp
40.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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