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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 02:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$31K$35K
Holders377+146231
Trades2.1K−1252.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.7%
−37.4 pp
65.1%
Avg ROI1.7%
−1.3 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.00
+7.20×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.66
+11.84×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.4K
−$7.4K
$10.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.16
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−116.2 pp
23.2%
Underwater %92.1%
+92.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.1%
−22.6 pp
77.8%
Bot %55.1%
−22.7 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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