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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 19:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$6.2K$16K
Holders384−20404
Trades4.4K+404.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.0%
+3.3 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI5.7%
+3.3 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−15.08×
×15.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−14.03×
×14.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
+$1.9K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.07
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.0%
+166.9 pp
-92.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.2 pp
98.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.7%
−2.3 pp
61.9%
Bot %65.1%
−1.6 pp
66.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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