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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$54K+$38K$16K
Holders378−6384
Trades4.5K−3324.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate82.8%
+51.4 pp
31.4%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.9 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−36.90×
×37.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−29.92×
×30.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$46.0K
+$30.8K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.03
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.2%
+131.6 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−87.4 pp
87.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.3%
−22.1 pp
64.4%
Bot %42.2%
−22.0 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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