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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-05 23:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K−$85K$114K
Holders448+88360
Trades7.3K+107.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.7%
−19.5 pp
62.2%
Avg ROI12.4%
+10.2 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.40
+18.59×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.42
+22.59×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
−$30.7K
$33.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−118.5 pp
23.0%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.5 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.8%
−24.5 pp
83.2%
Bot %57.9%
−24.8 pp
82.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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