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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.7K−$950$8.7K
Holders197−45242
Trades1.5K−2851.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
+4.9 pp
46.1%
Avg ROI1.2%
−3.9 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−43.23×
×43.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−31.89×
×32.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.7K
−$2.8K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.19
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.5%
+180.8 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.8 pp
93.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.7%
+7.1 pp
39.6%
Bot %70.8%
+7.9 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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