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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 01:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.7K−$28K$33K
Holders338−144482
Trades2.5K−2492.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+1.6 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI11.3%
+10.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.74
+8.95×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.48
+8.69×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
−$20.3K
$25.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.1%
−126.4 pp
36.3%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
+2.0 pp
33.8%
Bot %50.0%
+3.2 pp
46.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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