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Will the US strike Iraq next?

data as of 2026-01-14 06:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$333−$51K$51K
Holders93+5637
Trades1.6K+3461.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−23.3 pp
67.8%
Avg ROI11.6%
+8.6 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.00
+3.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.76
+2.77×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$116
$116
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.5%
−73.8 pp
1.3%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.3%
−22.8 pp
89.1%
Bot %66.3%
−26.5 pp
92.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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