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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 20:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$5.8K$19K
Holders432+131301
Trades3.4K+493.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.8%
−10.9 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI4.6%
+4.2 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×48.45
+47.92×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×50.02
+49.46×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
−$2.3K
$14.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−174.2 pp
76.6%
Underwater %95.2%
+93.7 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.6%
−3.5 pp
59.1%
Bot %70.0%
−3.4 pp
73.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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