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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 00:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$30K$1.3K
Holders110−23133
Trades764−184948
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.3%
+22.6 pp
38.7%
Avg ROI0.2%
−3.7 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−11.27×
×12.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−10.67×
×11.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.7K
+$4.0K
$730
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.4%
+112.4 pp
-93.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.8 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.1%
+28.2 pp
55.9%
Bot %87.7%
+30.5 pp
57.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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