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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?

data as of 2026-01-01 21:08 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$35K+$35K$131
Holders185+13847
Trades293−284577
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.1%
+43.2 pp
17.9%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−38.8 pp
38.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−0.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−2.38×
×3.34
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.0K
+$5.0K
$6
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.4%
+78.2 pp
-74.8%
Underwater %1.1%
−26.0 pp
27.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.1%
+41.8 pp
5.3%
Bot %61.4%
+55.4 pp
6.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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