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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 23:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.3K−$1.7K$4.9K
Holders102+1101
Trades1.1K+212858
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−0.2 pp
53.2%
Avg ROI2.2%
−2.1 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.09
+12.48×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.23
+12.60×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$772
−$1.3K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−153.5 pp
61.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.5%
−6.0 pp
56.5%
Bot %64.7%
−5.7 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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