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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$16K$15K
Holders305−61366
Trades3.7K−5824.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+10.6 pp
40.7%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−16.7 pp
15.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.56
−19.82×
×20.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−18.65×
×19.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.4K
+$6.8K
$14.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL63.8%
+158.0 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.9 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.2%
+1.9 pp
79.3%
Bot %80.8%
+0.6 pp
80.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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