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218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?

data as of 2025-01-03 18:15 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$140K+$137K$3.2K
Holders37+730
Trades187−4191
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.9%
−4.7 pp
63.6%
Avg ROI8.7%
+2.8 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−10.28×
×11.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−17.16×
×17.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.8K
+$2.2K
$569
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL103.7%
+197.9 pp
-94.3%
Underwater %6.0%
−87.8 pp
93.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.2%
−11.8 pp
18.1%
Bot %5.8%
−12.3 pp
18.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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