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Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?

data as of 2026-07-20 08:38 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$55$57
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−82.9 pp
82.9%
Avg ROI0.0%
−1.8 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.08
+0.08×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$55
$57
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-7.7%
−7.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %33.3%
+33.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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