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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 23:12 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$9.4K$2.2K
Holders100+595
Trades946+2944
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.9%
+1.2 pp
53.8%
Avg ROI4.1%
+0.7 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−9.91×
×10.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−8.92×
×9.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.6K
+$4.0K
$590
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.5%
+113.9 pp
-90.4%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.5 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.5%
+8.1 pp
47.4%
Bot %68.0%
+9.1 pp
58.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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