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Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?

data as of 2025-01-18 02:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.7K−$114K$120K
Holders159−83242
Trades1.6K−1081.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
−8.1 pp
60.5%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−0.9 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.43
+1.48×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.78
+1.84×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.50
0.50
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.9%
−69.4 pp
6.6%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.6 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.5%
−29.0 pp
58.5%
Bot %29.5%
−29.0 pp
58.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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