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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-09 03:36 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$24K$12K
Holders136−44180
Trades1.3K−2381.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.1%
+19.3 pp
40.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−32.7 pp
32.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−23.98×
×24.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−17.51×
×18.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.6K
+$10.5K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.07
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL65.0%
+159.1 pp
-94.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.1%
−21.6 pp
40.6%
Bot %19.4%
−11.9 pp
31.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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