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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-05 00:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.1K+$305$2.8K
Holders13+310
Trades42−2365
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.2%
+38.0 pp
26.2%
Avg ROI0.7%
−19.9 pp
20.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−56.55×
×57.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−52.70×
×53.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$58
−$99
$40
Recent buyer dominance0.37
−0.45
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL65.6%
+163.7 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %94.3%
+3.6 pp
90.7%
Bot %94.5%
+3.8 pp
90.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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