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Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?

data as of 2025-10-08 12:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$95K+$63K$32K
Holders63+1251
Trades1.2K−4151.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.4%
+4.3 pp
57.0%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.2 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−2.71×
×3.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−2.31×
×3.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.0K
+$1.0K
$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.5%
+101.4 pp
-65.9%
Underwater %6.0%
−91.4 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.2%
+11.7 pp
44.5%
Bot %56.2%
+11.6 pp
44.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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