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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

data as of 2026-03-23 09:25 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K+$6.7K$34K
Holders530−14544
Trades5.5K−3815.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
−7.2 pp
61.6%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.26
+2.95×
×0.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.12
+2.76×
×0.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36.3K
+$10.2K
$26.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.5%
−228.1 pp
159.6%
Underwater %93.7%
+93.0 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
+6.5 pp
74.6%
Bot %80.8%
+6.2 pp
74.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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