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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 05:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.5K−$4.2K$6.6K
Holders113+10103
Trades1.1K−11.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+0.8 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
−2.0 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.67
+7.95×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.88
+8.14×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$1.6K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−126.5 pp
37.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.4%
+0.7 pp
49.7%
Bot %57.5%
−2.0 pp
59.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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