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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$13K$8.6K
Holders344−26370
Trades2.8K−822.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+7.3 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−1.7 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−38.54×
×39.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−34.90×
×35.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.8K
+$5.9K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL56.9%
+154.1 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %4.9%
−95.0 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.3%
+0.4 pp
56.8%
Bot %65.3%
+1.1 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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