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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 14?

data as of 2026-04-14 18:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$345−$3.0K$3.4K
Holders76−1692
Trades498+232266
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.7%
−51.0 pp
86.7%
Avg ROI15.5%
+13.7 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.42
+5.50×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.66
+7.74×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$27
$28
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.26
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.4%
−97.7 pp
9.3%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.6%
+13.8 pp
11.9%
Bot %27.0%
+15.1 pp
11.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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