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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 4PM ET

data as of 2025-11-30 21:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$15K$18K
Holders77+1661
Trades1.1K−3511.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−30.9 pp
65.0%
Avg ROI4.6%
+3.8 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.00
+17.15×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.36
+14.53×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$45
−$1.0K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.27
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.7%
−114.4 pp
20.7%
Underwater %89.3%
+89.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.0%
−0.3 pp
61.3%
Bot %60.9%
−0.3 pp
61.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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