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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-18 10:14 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
36¢
NO
63¢
YES
36¢
YesY-NNo
Position$17−$14$32
Holders4−48
Trades7−310
NO
63¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate92.3%
+6.5 pp
85.8%
Avg ROI12.3%
−5.4 pp
17.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$2
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+1.5 pp
-1.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.5 pp
93.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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