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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 20:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$18K$31K
Holders424+64360
Trades4.2K+4603.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−9.8 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI1.2%
+0.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.00
+37.39×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.92
+30.29×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
−$5.7K
$18.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−160.2 pp
63.3%
Underwater %99.0%
+98.7 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.5%
−1.7 pp
82.2%
Bot %80.6%
−0.5 pp
81.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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