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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.1K−$3.9K$6.1K
Holders113+3110
Trades967+242725
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−3.1 pp
52.5%
Avg ROI1.8%
+0.8 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.62
+23.79×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.77
+21.98×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$348
−$1.0K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.12
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−124.7 pp
28.8%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.5%
−0.8 pp
44.3%
Bot %69.7%
+4.2 pp
65.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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