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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12AM ET

data as of 2025-08-25 04:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$10K$20K
Holders68+1454
Trades787−45832
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−6.5 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI3.6%
+1.2 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.69
+42.03×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.41
+36.81×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$399
+$922
−$522
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.57
0.43
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−162.5 pp
65.3%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.6%
−28.2 pp
90.7%
Bot %62.6%
−27.2 pp
89.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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