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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-31 14:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$51K−$27K$78K
Holders395−11406
Trades8.2K−2518.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.6%
−31.4 pp
66.0%
Avg ROI-23.8%
−23.0 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.53
+14.01×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.88
+13.33×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.5K
−$20.0K
$32.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.08
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−174.0 pp
81.2%
Underwater %95.7%
+95.5 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−14.3 pp
82.1%
Bot %67.8%
−14.1 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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