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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 13:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.7K−$25K$28K
Holders188+58130
Trades1.4K+3331.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
−3.3 pp
62.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.6 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.48
+45.62×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×54.06
+53.20×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$656
−$6.9K
$7.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.17
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.7%
−119.2 pp
20.5%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.0%
−32.6 pp
80.6%
Bot %52.5%
−30.9 pp
83.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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