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Will 'Metaphor: ReFantazio' win Game of the Year?

data as of 2024-12-13 04:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14K−$106K$120K
Holders160−53213
Trades3.9K+9463.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.6%
−17.2 pp
73.8%
Avg ROI0.6%
+1.1 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.33
+4.38×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.57
+4.62×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$8
$9
Recent buyer dominance0.50
−0.17
0.67
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.5%
−87.3 pp
5.8%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.8%
−45.2 pp
58.0%
Bot %12.4%
−45.6 pp
58.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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