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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 09:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K−$32K$40K
Holders456+16440
Trades4.2K−3184.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.3%
−28.8 pp
58.1%
Avg ROI8.3%
−5.3 pp
13.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.13
+19.41×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.06
+18.33×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$17.1K
$24.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.09
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−134.9 pp
40.4%
Underwater %83.1%
+78.3 pp
4.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.8%
−6.4 pp
57.1%
Bot %49.9%
−6.0 pp
55.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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