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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 02:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$22K$15K
Holders383+24359
Trades4.0K−3624.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−3.1 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI18.6%
+17.4 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−6.14×
×6.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.37
−6.07×
×6.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.3K
+$11.3K
$13.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.07
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL132.6%
+219.0 pp
-86.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
−17.7 pp
72.1%
Bot %54.3%
−17.7 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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