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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-12 06:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$28K$45K
Holders653+209444
Trades6.3K+4195.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−16.4 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI5.3%
+7.2 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.39
+16.74×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.24
+15.58×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$9.3K
$10.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.02
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−148.4 pp
55.2%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.4%
−10.2 pp
78.6%
Bot %68.2%
−10.2 pp
78.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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