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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 6?

data as of 2026-05-06 05:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$376−$2.1K$2.5K
Holders49+544
Trades168+18150
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−11.6 pp
58.3%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.1 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−0.20×
×1.12
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−0.24×
×1.13
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$37
−$17
$53
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL13.0%
+24.3 pp
-11.3%
Underwater %5.8%
−94.2 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.1%
−10.5 pp
24.5%
Bot %14.1%
−10.5 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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