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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?

data as of 2026-03-04 17:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$579−$2.1K$2.6K
Holders69+2940
Trades251−19270
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−30.5 pp
67.3%
Avg ROI0.9%
+4.8 pp
-3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.85
+2.05×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.76
+1.96×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$50
−$275
$325
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.7%
−89.9 pp
25.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
+13.8 pp
27.5%
Bot %50.1%
+22.6 pp
27.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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