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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 02:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$14K$6.8K
Holders363−21384
Trades2.2K−4062.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+8.9 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.9 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−14.83×
×15.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−10.22×
×10.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.4K
+$13.1K
$6.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.3%
+122.2 pp
-91.9%
Underwater %20.8%
−71.5 pp
92.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.8%
−5.9 pp
37.7%
Bot %46.6%
−5.3 pp
51.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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