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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 20:02 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$11K$2.9K
Holders235−32267
Trades1.1K−2871.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+4.2 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI2.1%
−3.4 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.90
−2.35×
×3.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−2.63×
×3.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
+$8.8K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.7%
+88.4 pp
-73.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.0%
+1.6 pp
33.4%
Bot %73.5%
+12.1 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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