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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-29 08:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.4K−$3.4K$9.8K
Holders79+772
Trades482+190292
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
−12.5 pp
62.6%
Avg ROI14.6%
+16.5 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.73
+39.23×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.91
+35.31×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$372
−$2.6K
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−161.8 pp
64.6%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.8%
−0.3 pp
52.1%
Bot %38.1%
+19.2 pp
18.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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