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Will Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

data as of 2026-01-22 14:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13−$5.9K$5.9K
Holders31−1445
Trades245+102143
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.9%
−61.4 pp
89.3%
Avg ROI136.4%
+131.2 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$4.1K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.3%
−54.4 pp
0.1%
Underwater %34.9%
−34.8 pp
69.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.2%
−13.6 pp
27.7%
Bot %14.2%
−14.8 pp
29.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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