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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-23 00:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$25K$31K
Holders434+62372
Trades2.8K+4352.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−3.9 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI3.0%
+3.2 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.81
+13.08×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.22
+11.48×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$8.8K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.1%
−127.3 pp
35.2%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.0%
−10.8 pp
49.7%
Bot %59.5%
−8.0 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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