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Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?

data as of 2026-05-20 20:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7−$171$178
Holders11+56
Trades63+4815
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.2%
+22.4 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI9.4%
+6.5 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−0.40×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.14×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$3
−$11
$8
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.4%
+23.4 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %41.7%
−58.3 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.8%
+27.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %27.8%
+27.8 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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