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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 06:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K+$979$6.0K
Holders109+6103
Trades1.4K+431.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+0.9 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI6.6%
+0.3 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.13
+1.36×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.32
+1.53×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$2.1K
$3.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.03
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.0%
−83.6 pp
26.6%
Underwater %98.6%
+83.4 pp
15.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.8%
+10.4 pp
48.3%
Bot %76.6%
+7.1 pp
69.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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